As part of the Karst Firewall 5.0 project, Work Package 1 has been completed, dedicated to developing a conceptual framework for reducing wildfire risk through cross-border cooperation between Slovenia and Italy. The work package produced seven deliverables that together link scientific climate change analysis, AI-based predictive modelling, practical risk-reduction measures, and direct engagement with local communities:
- D.1.1.1 – Assessment of Climate Change on the Karst between Italy and Slovenia: harmonisation of climate data from both countries and analysis of climate trends and projections to 2100.
- D.1.1.2 – Wildfire Hazard and Vulnerability Assessment: geospatial mapping of wildfire hazard and vulnerability across the entire cross-border area using MaxEnt modelling and MCDA/AHP analysis.
- D.1.2.1 – Predictive Algorithm Models: development and testing of machine-learning algorithms for wildfire risk prediction, achieving up to 90% accuracy.
- D.1.2.2 – Optimised Resource Allocation: guidelines and policy recommendations for resource allocation in wildfire prevention and management based on predictive models.
- D.1.3.1 – Handbook of Measures for Reducing Wildfire Risk on the Karst: a comprehensive set of practical measures for local authorities, civil protection, and land managers.
- D.1.4.1 – Joint Participatory Workshops, Knowledge Co-creation and Capacity Building: report on two cross-border workshops in which local stakeholders directly contributed to shaping the analyses and measures.
- D.1.4.2 – Presentation of the Digital Fire Management Platform (Koper, 24 April 2026): report on the event where firefighters and civil protection tested the digital platform first-hand ahead of its finalisation.
Work Package 1 provides the scientific and strategic foundation for the technological solutions developed under Work Package 2.